In the present day we focus on flora, fauna and self-gratification.
You’ve been away.
Sure, I used to be dwelling in a tent for 2 weeks, communing with the pine bushes and black bears of the Sierra.
You heard about California’s possible particular election?
I did.
As many as 5 GOP Home seats might be erased from the congressional map drawn by California’s impartial redistricting fee, which voters established greater than a decade in the past — expressly to take the line-drawing away from a bunch of self-interested politicians.
Preventing hearth with hearth!
May we please retire that phrase.
Huh?
Additionally references to knife fights and Democrats exhibiting up with pencils, rubber bands, butter knives and different wimpy implements. The marketing campaign hasn’t even began and already these metaphors have grown stale.
Advantageous. At the very least Democrats are exhibiting some combat.
In an impulsive, shortsighted trend.
Look, I get it. Donald Trump actually is aware of no backside relating to undermining democratic norms, working a familial kleptocracy and, within the felicitous phrase of Gustavo Arellano, my fellow Instances columnista, treating the Structure like a pee pad.
Democrats are powerless in Washington, the place a pliant Republican-controlled Congress and a supine right-wing Supreme Court docket have proven all of the deference of a maître d’ squiring Trump to his favourite desk. So the thought of doing one thing to push again towards the president is sort of invigorating and, little doubt, gratifying for Democratic partisans.
It’s additionally expedient and facile, sparing the get together from trying inward and doing the actually laborious work it faces. Taking over Republicans over redistricting — a combat amongst insiders, so far as many citizens are involved — does completely nothing to deal with the bigger drawback confronting Democrats, which is the absence of any broader message past: Trump, dangerous!
We noticed how that labored for them in 2024.
Please.
The one factor worse than a greedy and nakedly calculating politician is a politician who wraps his greedy and bare calculation in all kinds of pink, white and blue bunting.
How so?
The entire episode began when our gallivanting governor went on a left-wing podcast throughout a Southern marketing campaign swing and huffed and puffed about responding to Trump and Texas by executing the same gerrymander in California. (He elided the truth that, beneath the state Structure, he has no such authority. Therefore the necessity for a particular election to hunt voter approval of latest, slanted political strains.)
Golly.
Although, it must be stated, at this level all that election handicapping is nothing greater than hypothesis.
What do you imply?
Democrats have to flip three congressional districts to grab management of the Home. That’s why Trump prodded Texas Republicans to attempt to nab these 5 further seats, to offer the GOP some padding.
However there’s no assure Republicans will win all 5 seats. They’re relying on the identical sturdy Latino help Trump acquired in 2024, and up to date polling suggests a few of that pro-GOP sentiment could also be waning.
Past that, the ever-insightful Amy Walter, of the nonpartisan Cook dinner Political Report, makes an necessary level.
“Even as the possibility of new maps in Texas and California may change the size and the shape of the 2026 playing field,” she wrote in a latest evaluation, “the fate of the Republican-controlled House is ultimately still going to be determined by two fundamental questions: how do voters feel about the state of the economy, and how do independent voters assess the party in power?”
It’s a protracted technique to November 2026. However at this level, neither of these elements augurs properly for Trump and Republicans.
Nicely, they began it, by messing with Texas.
True. And none of that is meant to defend Trump, Texas Gov. Greg Abbott or the president’s different political henchmen.
However successfully disenfranchising hundreds of thousands of California Republicans isn’t any higher than successfully disenfranchising hundreds of thousands of Texas Democrats.
Huh?
If Democrats have their manner, the GOP would maintain only a handful of California’s 52 Home seats, and even much less. How is that probably honest, or consultant, in a state that’s house to hundreds of thousands of Republican voters — extra, in truth, than any state aside from Texas.
There are already numerous residents, dwelling outdoors Democrats’ metropolis and suburban strongholds, who really feel ignored and politically impotent. That’s not wholesome for California, or democracy. It breeds anger, resentment, cynicism and a sort of political nihilism that, in the end, helps result in the election of a middle-finger president like Donald Trump.
By preventing hearth with hearth!
And doubtlessly burning the entire place down.
